Confidence Has No Budget
AboutAn ongoing exploration of taste, time, and category.

Peak
When do people do their best work? An ongoing exploration.

Generations
Where the lines fall, and who lands where.

Rhymes
Is San Francisco the next Detroit? Two company towns, two declines.
An open inquiry
Did the USAID cuts kill people?
And if so, how many — and who is responsible?
An open inquiry
Did the USAID cuts kill people?
A working model of the excess-deaths debate. Set your own probability, magnitude, and attribution — see what your assumptions imply.